Sirak Bahta
Senior Scientist - Agricultural Economist, Policies, Institutions and Livelihoods
ILRI
According to the Livestock Development Strategy for Africa 2015-2035 released by AU-IBAR in 2015, African countries are experiencing slow growth in the Livestock Sector. The strategy recognized that if things continue as they are now, with low investment and slow sector growth, the increase in demand for food of animal origin will not be matched by a corresponding increase in production or growth in the sector. There is a high risk of a critical shortfall in the supply of quality proteins of animal origin, negatively impacting many African households’ food and nutritional security. In many African countries, the livestock sector experiences stagnation when the development model is no longer working. Chronic under-investment in the livestock sector is a major constraint to the livestock sector. For example, in many countries, the red meat industry is mostly dependent on the local market, and there is hardly any export market. Many governments in Sub-Saharan Africa, except for a few countries in Southern Africa, have not invested in providing sanitary and phytosanitary services that are credible enough for their meat to be acceptable in the regional and international markets. Similarly, in the dairy sector, there exists low investment in improved production technologies and value addition. Many of these countries might have livestock specific strategies and policies. But such policies and strategies are not evidence-based and lack ammunition (ROIs or returns on investment) to obtain financial resources for livestock development (from Ministries of Finance and development partners). Evidence-based livestock development provides a sector analysis that understands the current situation, with the predictive analysis needed to set long-term strategies and design action plans. It, however, requires a stronger human capacity for quantitative livestock sector planning to inform decision making.
A Livestock Master Plan (LMP), which is an evidence-based sector analysis, enables an effective and efficient sustainable development of the Livestock Sector while contributing to the development objectives of African governments. LMPs provide governments, policymakers, private investors, and development partners with an evidence base on the current contributions and constraints of the livestock sector, potential of the sector to contribute to national development objectives, the priority livestock commodities and value chains and proposed investment options (combining both technologies and policies) and the impacts of targeted investments in livestock on the economic performance and livelihoods in the sector. The LMP process enables livestock ministries to accomplish this by first building their capacity in livestock sector quantitative analysis and then help identify the needed investments and policies to develop the livestock sector by carrying out foresight or ex-ante investment analysis to document and demonstrate the potential returns on investment (ROI) of combined livestock technologies and policies that increase the livestock sector’s contribution to poverty reduction, food security, environment while taking gender, equity, youth employment and other social factors into account.
At the national governments' request, ILRI has assisted Ethiopia, Tanzania, Rwanda, Uzbekistan, and the state of Bihar in India to produce livestock master plans (LMPs) and investment plans have become the basis of resource mobilization, investment and further development of the sector.
The ILRI LMP team has carried out evidence-based, realistic financial planning together with their livestock ministries to produce the LMPs, which comprise of a Livestock Sector Analysis (LSAs) of the current situation and trends, a long term forecast (15-year) of the impact of livestock sector strategies(LSS), and a medium-term (5-year) investment action plan with commodity value chain “road maps”. ILRI is currently assisting the governments of Kenya, Gambia and the Indian state of Odisha to develop their LMPs.
LMP impacts include:
In Ethiopia, the government and donors and development partners (so far BMGF, the EU, the Netherlands, New Zealand, USAID, and World Bank) are already investing in implementing the LMP or are preparing projects to help fund sector investment programs. The Ethiopian government is also investing further from its budget resources to improve primary production through improved animal genetics and vaccination programs to lower ruminant morbidity and mortality and is also supporting more value addition to processed livestock products by setting up four agro-industrial parks (with the support of the EU and FAO). Private investment of more than $250 million in value addition through processing has also been mobilized for the sector. The Government of Ethiopia and the World Bank have also just launched a $176 million livestock sector program based on the LMP.
· Tanzania LMP –LMP integrated into the five-year national development plan and proposed a $624 million investment plan.
· Rwanda LMP –LMP provided strategies and targets for the government. Rwanda’s five-year national development plan proposed $261 million. The Rwanda LMP is also integrated into the country's National Agricultural Investment Plan (NAIP)
· Uzbekistan, Central Asia LMP – LMP results informed a World Bank US$180 million sector investment
· Bihar, India – 15-year LSA strategy produced a five-year LMP for INR Crore 6,700 (US$ 895M, 16% from the public sector) endorsed by the state Chief Minister. The Government of Bihar and the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) have launched a $146 million “Bihar Aquaculture and Livestock Improvement (BAaLI))” project, which developed in consonance with the Bihar LMP.